Friday 10 January 2014

11 points that already want a second stab at 2014


1) I am two people. One is calm, considered and appreciative of our current predicament. This person understands that all good things come to an end. And boy was it good. This person realises that it’s unfair to demand a seamless transition. After all you cannot worship a man like a God then move onto the next idol when he’s gone. It doesn’t work like that. So that person realises. But this split personality has another side. The Hyde. This person is depressed, angry and frustrated that his greatest love has been destroyed in 6 short but torturous months by David Moyes, his backroom staff, Ed Woodward and of course, the Glazers. I am two fans. One is reasonable. The other is angry. One understands. The other is despondent. Where one sees hope, the other decline. Since we last met there was a winning run (Shakhtar, Villa, West Ham, Hull and Norwich) followed by a quite stunning start to 2014 (3 defeats in 3 competitions). United themselves seem be the perfect match to my newly found bi-polar disposition. Their form has proven after all these years that the old adage really is true: you win some, you lose some. And that, gentlemen, is life. We just didn’t realise it before now.
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2) Moyes and the players have entered the vortex. They are in a vicious cycle, on the wrong end of a narrative that they will not escape until they recapture the glories of old. There has been a paradigm shift. Ferguson was a winner – everything he did was right. Winning begets winning. And unfortunately, losing begets losing. There is no middle ground. It’s a winner’s paradise out there and Moyes is lost, miles out at sea. And I’m not just talking the 3 games in 2014 – I’m talking about his whole career. There is no tangible success he can point to. No “feast your eyes on these bad boy medals” that reassure us he’s the man for the job. But then Moyes wasn’t appointed for his CV – he was appointed for the manager he could become. And that’s fine but he needs to win some games, win a trophy and turn this ship around quickly or he will never recover from the loser’s cycle he currently finds himself in. Compare and contrast the two men. Moyes losing his nut on the touchline is a man out of control. Ferguson doing it was a sign of control. Moyes deciding a player isn’t good enough is a farce, but with Ferguson it was a sign of decisiveness. Now to compare the two men is a) ridiculous on my part and b) unfair on Moyes, but the truth is the same for any man who wants to manage MUFC. Unless you are a winner you’ll lose every time.
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3) It is my absolute right to sit on the fence re Moyes. I refuse to believe he’s the archaic fool that he’s being made out to be I just wish he’s shown a whole lot more in the last 6 months to convince me he isn’t totally overwhelmed. I worry about standards. How high are they? Alarm bells rang when he arrived and immediately waxed lyrical about Ryan Giggs. Of course we adore Giggs – but has he not been playing for over 20 years? Surely Moyes was aware of his quality. Obviously not. Moyes hasn’t worked with world class players before. His standards are lower. Signing Fellaini smacked of a manager who didn’t understand the requirement of a Manchester United player. It’s all very well to say he was 8th on the list – but why was he on the list at all? To listen to Phil Neville bang on about ex-Everton players as if they were gods is equally alarming. To hear him say ‘Felli’ can be a great box-to-box midfielder when a) not only is that patently untrue b) he’s never even showed that at Everton, smacks of a management team with the bar too low. Manchester United became dominant not because they are Manchester United. They became dominant because of the incredibly high standards set by the manager. He didn’t want to win the league. He wanted to win 10 leagues. He didn’t want to win in Europe, he wanted to dominate in Europe. He was loyal to his players but when a better option presented itself he didn’t think twice. These are the standards and I think Moyes has fallen into the trap of thinking that Manchester United will always win games and win trophies because they always have. That quite simply isn’t true. No team deserves to win. They only ever win what they deserve. Even the famous Man United.
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4) “Just when I thought I was out, they pull me back in.” In this brave new world nothing makes sense. United do not win 4 games on the trot, build momentum then lose at home to Spurs on New Year’s Day. That just doesn’t happen. Unfortunately we are constantly experiencing thing that are not ‘supposed’ to happen. We don’t lose 3 on the bounce. We don’t lose in the third round of the cup. We don’t look like a total bunch of strangers in a semi final. But this is the transition. We are discovering new and weird things about one another. We are recalibrating and learning about ourselves all over again. At times it’s torture. But it’s a challenge. Having absorbed (and by absorbed I mean kicked and screamed like a toddler in meltdown for a week) the Spurs defeat I wasn’t overly surprised or upset by the subsequent defeats. If we’re going to come 5th, then we may as well come 15th. If we aren’t going to win the cup, then the third round is as good a round as any to go out. People talk about par for the course: we should be getting to a semi final and coming top four. That is wrong. We should be winning the league and the cup. That is what we aspire to. And if David Moyes has a vision to get us back onto that path over a 5 year period then I'm with him come what may. If he doesn't then he's in the wrong job. There are so many questions waiting to be answered. Why did Moyes do this, why did he do that, who is Ed Woodward, where is Ed Woodward, why is Ed Woodward – but these are to obsess over detail. There is absolutely no comfort in the detail right now. In truth we need only one question answering. Is David Moyes the man for the job? And for better or worse, only the fullness of time can answer that.
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5) We do miss Paul Scholes. Carrick was magnificent last season but let’s not forget Scholes’s early season contributions. Without him (and a fit Carrick) we move the ball so slowly. We lack either the confidence or quality to go for the jugular. Our best moments have come with a directness and confidence to commit men into the box. At Villa, against West Ham and for 15 minutes against Spurs we were electric. But other than that we have become hideously predictable. That is the worst thing I can say. We are totally and utterly predictable. The players are trying to play the Ferguson way but with David Moyes as manager. That can’t work. Whatever it takes, Moyes needs to get the players dancing to his tune. If it’s new players he needs, new coaches, new tactics, new everything then he has to go for it. But he’d better change the record because right now we’re dancing to a tune everyone has heard a thousand times before. In all honesty, even our opponents know the words.
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6) The panic is all consuming. I am not above a good tantrum and a complete meltdown. The press are (understandably) full of it. The knives are out. But we must remain calm. If Moyes loses his nerve and signs players he doesn’t believe in (which is exactly what happened with Fellaini) then we won’t come back. If the board panic and get rid of Moyes (which there is absolutely zero chance of happening) we’ll be finished. We need to take our time, relax and stick to the plan. Talk of moving on 12 players and bringing in (presumably) the same number is a farce. There is no evidence in the history of football for this model producing success. The top clubs build. They invest in youth, let them make mistakes, sprinkle the core of the side with stardust and give them time to gel, to become a unit. Liverpool under Dalglish (first time) stopped buying young players (second time he just bought crap players – but they still love him. He has done more to ruin that club than any other man but they worship him. It’s weird). They let the team grow old. Souness came in and tried to change too much too soon. That was his single biggest mistake. Look at Spurs signing seven players from all over the world. How could that ever be expected to work? If you are a very successful side you can absorb 3/4 new players. They’ll be given time to work out what it’s all about and eventually find their way into the side. But anything more than that just cannot work. This United squad needs adding to – it does not need culling. You never turn down world class players – but you can count on one hand those that fit into that bracket. We have some very good players, one world class player (RVP) and one potential world class player (Adnan). There are some players who are too sure of first team football and some not getting enough. It would be wrong to say we don’t need to add to the squad but it would be suicide to panic.
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7) Young players are not necessarily those under the age of 21. Young players can be as ‘old’ as 25. It’s to do with experience and physical development as much as age. I have never been Tom Cleverley’s biggest fan but now is not the time to get on his back and claim that because he’s 24 he should be doing better. This is only his 2nd full season of Premiership football. He made his breakthrough in 2011 before missing 6 months of the season with injury. He played last season making this his 2nd full season. Whether he’s 19 or 23 this is still his 2nd season. So to put pressure on him because of his birth certificate is a farce. He is a young, inexperienced player and watching him now – he’s desperate for a rest. He is mentally exhausted and making countless basic errors. The mistake and foul against Sunderland was an unfortunate example of that. He’d switched off in the middle of the park then compounded the error with a tired and poor decision in the box. A fit and fresh Cleverley would not make that mistake. He may not be a world beater but now is not the time to judge him. Fletcher and Jones will take his place in coming weeks and though he might not thank Moyes for it now, no one will be more grateful in the long run than TC23.
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8) Anybody who thinks Ferguson attending games has a bearing on anything is an idiot.
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9) You know you’re in trouble when the January window takes on unprecedented importance. The situation we are in is due solely to the lack of activity in the summer. This is not the result of a Glazer-induced trend. People criticising the Glazers (which I fully understand) saying that they’ve taken too much money out (they have) and not put enough in (also true) are perhaps missing a key point. Let me ask this question: if the Glazers had told Fergie (post-Ronaldo) that money is unlimited, go nuts, do you think we’d have signed the world’s best players? How different do you think the squad would be to the one we currently have? I’d argue not very. MUFC have always struggled to attract (and retain) Europe’s top talent. They realised as soon as Abramovich came along that developing young talent was the best bet to securing long term success. In 2014 there are 10 Abramoviches while Madrid, Barca and Munich have the rich pickings of their respective leagues. We will not win a transfer war however much we are prepared to spend. I am not a Glazer apologist but then nor is Gary Neville who has been banging this drum for years. The best teams develop their own. Yes it needs to be augmented with world class signings but if you think money is the sole reason we have struggled in the transfer market, then more fool you.
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10) Darren Fletcher – the bright spot. It’s hard to under-state how incredibly unlucky both he and United have been. When he broke into the team he looked like a good runner with a big game temperament. Perfect to play in a three against Arsenal or in Europe. He didn’t look like a truly top midfielder. In fact, for a while, he didn’t look like a footballer. In 2006 his game went up a level. Competition for places was fierce but he did not shirk the challenge. In 2008 when he’d missed out on a place in the UCL final his game went up another level. It was then we started to see a midfield maestro. Comfortable in front of the back four, or further up the pitch, what he lacked in skill he made up for in temperament and energy while being a terribly under-rated passer of the ball. His performances that season were best epitomised by his red card at Arsenal in the semi final 2nd leg. 4-0 up on aggregate with a few minutes to go, Fletcher who had kept Cesc quiet all night, executed the most perfectly timed tackle to prevent a consolation goal, only to find himself on the end of a red card. Out of the final he didn’t cry, he didn’t harangue the ref and he didn’t moan. He took it like a man. His performances the following season were of an incredibly high standard with a high point in Milan. Then his illness kicked in bringing his career to a shuddering halt. When he came back it was his first game in just under a year. In fact this was only his 12th game since Christmas 2010. 3 years. On discovering his operations were successful the club made a conscious decision to stick by him. They feel they have a quality player back in the squad. If this is the real thing then Moyes will be vindicated for doing what’s right by the club. As a player he is no Bryan Robson but, assuming his recovery is permanent, Fletcher will be the next United captain. The club have taken a risk – but when it’s one of your own, it’s a risk worth taking.
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11) Is Ryan Giggs. I just wonder if maybe his new coaching role and business interests are catching up with him. For the very first time he has looked half a yard off the pace. Could the life of Ryan as we know it be coming to an end?